Who will win the chip war?

When comparing military forces, media whores like to claim that China’s numerical advantage in ships is trumped by America’s bigger ships and more advanced technology. At the same time they conveniently ignore the elephant in the living room—the Atlantic Ocean, with many important assets that must be protected by the Great Capitalist Fleet.

Discussions of the global chip war are similarly clouded by enormous lies of omission. Let’s start at the beginning . . .

First, the technology associated with manufacturing computer chips is incredibly complex. In fact, some observers say it may be the most complex project ever undertaken by humans. To put it in perspective, learning how to manufacture high-end chips may be more difficult than landing astronauts on the moon.

On top of that, we have some wild political and economic games. In particular, the U.S. is desperately trying to hamstring China’s efforts to turn itself into an independent chip manufacturer.

Given all the complexity and confusion, let’s agree that no one could possibly know who’s going to win the chip war. Even if the evidence strongly favored China, Team USA could always change the equation by pulling one of its legendary dirty tricks. In the meantime, all we can do is make predictions.

The Western media routinely portray China as a wounded beast desperately trying to achieve the impossible before it dies. Aided by its many allies, the U.S. is the undisputed master, and the master has instructed its allies to boycott China, leaving it to tinker with chip manufacturing in solitude. Surely, it’s a lost cause. Even if isolated Chinese scientists manage to reinvent the wheel, it will take a long, long time. After pResident Jew Biden tightened the screws in early 2023, one media whore predicted it would take “decades” for China to catch up. (“Why Chinese AI and semiconductors could fall decades behind under US chip ban ‘blitz’” Liu Zhen, South China Morning Post, Feb. 5, 2023)

At first glance, that might not sound unreasonable. After all, the silicon chip was invented by two American electrical engineers way back in 1961. If it has taken the U.S. and other silicon chip powers six decades to get from square one to today’s cutting-edge chips, surely a backwards, unloved country like China will require a similar amount of time to win the chip war. In fact, I can think of at least eight reasons China can do it faster, possibly by 2030.

  1. China already has the basic technology.
  2. China has cutting-edge chips to examine.
  3. Computers are far more powerful today.
  4. China is not America.
  5. China has more motivation.
  6. America’s allies may defect.
  7. Carbon chips!
  8. Secrecy

1. China isn’t starting from square one. ˆ

Chinese scientists don’t have to go back to the beginning an learn how to make the primitive chips Americans were making in 1961. China is already producing 12-nanometer chips, which other countries weren’t producing until after 2000.

Voila! We just cut our six-decade time frame down to two decades, and we’re just getting warmed up!

It isn’t really clear what the smallest size chip China is currently capable of producing is. One recent article claims that,

“Chinese semiconductor giant SMIC has reportedly been manufacturing 7-nanometer chips since last year [2021], the best sign yet that China has found a way to develop advanced components despite US efforts to curb the country’s homegrown silicon capabilities.” (“China seems to have figured out how to make 7nm chips despite US sanctions,” Dylan Martin, The Register, July 22, 2022)

The bottom line: China isn’t as far behind as the politicians and media whores want us to think.

2. China has cutting-edge chips to use as a guide. ˆ

In the 1980s and 1990s, technicians in the U.S., South Korea, and Taiwan may have envisioned working with silicon chips smaller than 10 nanometers one day, but it was nothing more than a vision. They had to sit down and do a lot of research and hard work to make it happen.

Today, chips smaller than 10 nanometers are a reality, giving Chinese scientists a more tangible goal. Even if the U.S. and its allies don’t want to share their technology, Chinese researchers can surely learn many things from examining existing chips.

3. Computers are far more powerful today. ˆ

I was born in 1955, and I bought my first personal computer in 1985, two and a half decades after the silicon chip was invented. It was powered by silicon chips three and a half decades behind today’s cutting-edge chips and the crappiest operating system ever invented, Microsoft Windows.

From then on, every new computer I purchased was an improvement, though I was still cursed with Microshft. I didn’t really spread my wings until I upgraded to a Mac about 2005.

I doubt that many Chinese scientists and technicians use computers powered by Mickeysoft, and they certainly don’t use computers manufactured in 1985. In short, the Chinese have far more powerful tools than the researchers who created the first silicon chips did.

4. China is not America. ˆ

As a resident of one of America’s showcase cities, Seattle, I know just how fucked up my country is. Team USA may have a head start on China, but I would never bet money on the U.S. winning the chip war.

The U.S. government is controlled by and for greedy corporations that put profits above country. In contrast, China’s government keeps its corporations in check. The U.S. military budget is well over $1 trillion a year, much of the money going to support some 800 overseas military bases and 11 aircraft carrier groups, along with corrupt corporations that charge outrageous sums for the latest weapon systems. The U.S. also has to pay interest on its national debt, which is now over $30 trillion.

The U.S. reportedly paid over $550 billion in interest on the debt in fiscal 2021, if you believe the Jew-controlled media. I suspect we’re actually shelling out over $1 trillion a year, but that’s a story for another day.

China’s military is much more focused, and the country isn’t dominated by a “military-industrial complex” or a national debt that has spiraled out of control. China isn’t plagued by the corruption that’s rampant in the U.S. Perhaps most important, China isn’t owned and controlled by the Jews.

5. China has far more motivation. ˆ

The Americans who developed the first silicon chips were motivated primarily by profit. Profit is also an enormous incentive in the current chip war. However, that’s just the tip of the iceberg.

As long as China lags behind the great chip powers, it will likely be overshadowed by the U.S., which will continue to bully and exploit it. The Chinese also have to worry about the U.S. launching a military attack against China.

For China, the chip war may be about nothing less than survival.

6. America’s allies may defect. ˆ

With friends like America, who needs enemies? In its desperation to curtail China’s rise, the U.S. has shit in its own nest. You can largely blame the U.S. for the global supply chain crisis and the silicon chip shortage. The sanctions the U.S. has levied against China has cost companies in other countries—including the U.S. itself—billions of dollars.

The U.S. has similarly manipulated the coronavirus pandemic and the war in Ukraine to serve its own selfish interests, hurting other countries in the process. Frankly, I’m amazed the U.S. has any allies at all.

In fact, some allies may already be in revolt, ranging from France and Germany to New Zealand.

One particularly interesting case study is ASML, a company based in the Netherlands. ASML is the only company on the planet that manufactures the high-end lithography machines that are required for the manufacture of smaller silicon chips. Bowing to U.S. pressure, the Netherlands’ government ordered ASML to boycott China, costing the company hundreds of millions of dollars in lost revenue. And it gets worse.

Stung by the loss of vital lithography machines, Chinese scientists have been working on their own lithography machines. Another option is to develop manufacturing techniques that don’t require lithography machines.

If China can pull it off, it could be curtains for ASML. So what do you think—can China’s vast resources accomplish in a few years what one corporation in the puny Netherlands needed several decades to accomplish? And as China gets closer to its goal, do you think the Netherlands might suddenly do an about face and open its doors to China?

Exactly where the Netherlands stands is hard to guess, as there are wildly conflicting reports in Western and Chinese media. Depending on who you believe, the Netherlands is either grudgingly supporting Team USA’s sanctions, or they have begun selling lithography machines to China.

Bear in mind that countries aren’t the only entities that can defect. There are probably thousands of disgruntled techies who would love to sell secrets to China for a handsome fee. After all, if the U.S. is going to screw them, why not screw Uncle Sam right back?

I wish I had access to some secrets I could sell to China! 😉

7. Carbon chips! ˆ

In the silicon chips arena, China is playing catch up, but there’s an even more exciting game with a more level playing field.

The value of silicon chips is determined largely by size, with smaller chips commanding the most value. The problem lies in the fact that smaller chips are harder to manufacture. In fact, the industry is apparently nearing the end of the road; chips measuring one or two nanometers are said to be as far as the industry can go. So what’s the next step?

Abandon silicon, say the pros. There are other materials computer chips can be made from, and one of the star candidates is carbon.

Carbon, or graphene, chips are said to offer significantly better performance than silicon chips. This suggests an intriguing fork in the road: should China continue wrestling with silicon chips, or should it hitch its wagon to the stars and embrace carbon chips? Or should it do both?

Carbon chips throw us a curve ball, because no country is currently making them. They may be the holy grail of the biggest contest in the world, and China isn’t playing catch up, because there’s no one to catch up to.

In fact, China could have an advantage over the silicon chip powers. The U.S., South Korea, and Taiwan have invested many billions of dollars in silicon, which makes it more difficult for them to switch to carbon chips. Can you imagine pulling the plug on Silicon Valley?

China, on the other hand, is free to go wherever the wind blows.

8. Secrecy ˆ

Given the gravity of the state of the global (dis)union, combined with the fact that the U.S. is such a bitch, it would be utterly stupid for the Chinese to put all their cards on the table. Why tell the U.S. you’re working on a certain strategy if the U.S. will only sanction materials or technologies that are part of the recipe?

And so, China is working in relative secrecy, and you know that has to be driving Team USA bonkers. Who knows what those devilish Chinese are working on right now?

It was recently reported that the Dutch firm ASML lost some market share after it was announced that Huawei had applied for a patent that’s said to be a game changer. Think about it: would it be possible to crash the U.S. economy with a mere headline? Here’s one recipe for a triple punch that would have Jewish bankers running for their barf bags . . .

First, people around the world are greeted with the news that Huawei’s smart phone is back in the saddle. By the end of 2025, Huawei’s phone is once again #1, trumping Apple and Samsung.

In 2027, headlines inform the world that China is now on a par with the U.S., South Korea, and Taiwan. It can make cutting edge chips all on its own. Even better, China sells its chips at a discount, undercutting the competition. The world is hooked.

In 2030, U.S. leaders frantically try to figure out a way to squelch an even more frightening headline. China’s media are claiming that China has become the first to produce carbon chips, heralding a new era in high-tech. China’s monopoly on the exciting new technology ramps up its power to unimagined heights. It is now more powerful than the U.S. economically, militarily, and politically. Entering the first stages of senility, Bill Gates suddenly becomes a global laughingstock.

* * * * *

Remember: all the above are merely my predictions. Maybe Americans will suddenly begin growing brains and backbone and figure out how to elect a real president. Failing that, Team USA could just pull the plug and start World War III.

Another possibility: all those crazy predictions about China being destroyed by economic problems, an aging population, or a violent revolution could come true. Funny thing is, America has those same problems.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *